{"id":4717,"date":"2022-09-07T21:39:43","date_gmt":"2022-09-08T02:39:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.luc.edu\/compliance\/?p=4717"},"modified":"2022-09-07T21:39:43","modified_gmt":"2022-09-08T02:39:43","slug":"is-stablecoin-really-stable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.luc.edu\/compliance\/?p=4717","title":{"rendered":"Is Stablecoin Really Stable?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\"><em>Junmo Yoon<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\"><em>Associate Editor<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\"><em>Loyola University Chicago School of Law, JD 2024<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\">* Please be advised, this article briefly discusses suicide.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\">On June 22<sup>nd<\/sup>, ten-year-old Yuna was <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ibtimes.com\/10-year-old-girl-family-who-went-missing-shortly-after-terra-luna-collapse-found-dead-3558951\">reported missing<\/a> by her teachers. Just one week later, the police discovered a sedan in the southernmost coast of South Korea, two hours away from Yuna\u2019s home. The three bodies recovered belonged to Yuna and her parents, both in their thirties. The police suspected suicide. Among the parent\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/news\/cryptocurrency-news\/family-found-dead-police-suspect-suicide-is-related-to-luna-crash-2842782\">last online searches<\/a> included \u201c<strong><em>LUNA<\/em><\/strong>,\u201d \u201csleeping pills,\u201d and \u201chow to commit suicide.\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/koreajoongangdaily.joins.com\/2022\/06\/29\/national\/socialAffairs\/Korea-crime-police\/20220629183843752.html\">Evidence<\/a> further suggested that Yuna\u2019s parents were unemployed, invested their lives savings into the cryptocurrency market, and struggled from financial debt of $100,000.<!--more--><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\">Yuna\u2019s family is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/news\/article-10823197\/Terra-Luna-crypto-crash-investors-suicidal-friends-seek-retribution-millions-lost.html\">one of many victims<\/a> in the cryptocurrency crash. The recent downfall demonstrates the need for change in the widely unregulated market. The lack of regulation may continue to <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/stablecoin-volatility-shows-an-urgent-need-for-regulation-to-protect-consumers-182886\">expose consumers<\/a> to the very volatility and risk they are supposed to avoid.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\"><strong>In theory, but not in practice<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\"><a href=\"https:\/\/yellowcard.io\/blog\/the-fall-of-terra-ust-are-stablecoins-really-stable\/\">LUNA<\/a>, the term that appeared in the search history, is the base currency, a staking or protocol token, to Terra, a \u201c<em>stablecoin\u201d <\/em>that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2022\/05\/18\/technology\/terra-luna-cryptocurrency-do-kwon.html\">crashed in May, 2022<\/a>. The value of Terra was <em>theoretically<\/em> <em>pegged<\/em> to the US dollar, meaning 1 Terra equaled 1 USD. Other stablecoins usually maintain their values pegged to a stable form of hard asset, such as USD, gold, or oil. However, Terra bases its value on its native coin, LUNA, in a non-collateral <a href=\"https:\/\/currency.com\/what-is-terra-luna-your-ultimate-guide\">two-token algorithm<\/a>. In other words, Terra is not backed by a hard asset, but rather to a <em>theoretical<\/em> currency through an algorithm. Despite this non-traditional model, the mechanism appeared to work. When Terra went above a dollar, the algorithm burned the equivalent value of LUNA, which minted more Terra, making Terra less valuable. Likewise, when Terra dropped below a dollar, it would swap with LUNA, which in turn increased Terra\u2019s value.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\">Terra <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theverge.com\/2022\/5\/20\/23131647\/terra-luna-do-kwon-stablecoin-anchor\">attracted investors<\/a> as it continued to maintain its value at a dollar even during the crypto market\u2019s fall. Furthermore, a lending platform, Anchor protocol, had promised an insanely high APY of 20 percent to whoever bought Terra and lent it to platform. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/yellen-renews-call-for-stablecoin-regulation-after-terrausd-stumble-11652208165\">Terra<\/a> was the fourth largest stablecoin and 10th-largest cryptocurrency by market value before its stumble.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\"><strong>The \u201cunstable\u201d stablecoin<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\">However, Terra took a <a href=\"https:\/\/time.com\/6177567\/terra-ust-crash-crypto\/\">freefall<\/a> in May of 2022, wiping out $400 billion in value in just a span of days. Investors panicked, and large withdrawals knocked the system and its algorithm out of balance. The \u201cdeath spiral\u201d caused the value of Terra to fall to just twenty cents, and LUNA followed suit by crashing to less than ten cents. Once backed by many crypto enthusiasts as the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2021\/12\/27\/what-investors-should-know-about-terra-and-its-token-luna.html\">\u201cbiggest hype\u201d<\/a> in the market, Terra and LUNA, which peaked at $116 in April, are now <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/LUNA1-USD\/history?p=LUNA1-USD\">worth less than a penny.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\">After Terra\u2019s crash, authorities are calling for an even quicker adaptation of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bis.org\/publ\/work905.pdf\">regulations and supervision<\/a>, monitoring and assessing risks from stablecoins, and addressing risks to the economy, financial systems, and consumers like Yuna\u2019s parents.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\"><strong>So, what\u2019s next for stablecoin regulations?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\">Regulatory supervision over stablecoins is the foremost priority in cryptocurrency regulation as stablecoins may influence the entire greenback ecosystem because of their intimate nature (pegging) to the US dollar. Moreover, stablecoins <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketplace.org\/2022\/04\/18\/what-are-stablecoins-and-why-are-regulators-worried-about-them\/\">account for 80 percent of cryptocurrency transactions<\/a> today. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen gave the US government\u2019s most <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2022-05-12\/yellen-says-terra-meltdown-demonstrates-crypto-stablecoin-risks\">forceful response<\/a> asserting that the Terra meltdown demonstrated the dangers of cryptocurrencies pegged to the USD with risks known for centuries in connection with bank runs.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\">However, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vice.com\/en\/article\/88gema\/revolving-door-for-pro-crypto-lobbyists-and-politicians-is-emerging-report-warns\">crypto lobbying<\/a> only continues to grow. The industry more than quadrupled in expenses in recent years. In 2021, 157 crypto-lobbyists spent $9 million, whereas just three years ago, 47 crypto-lobbyists spent 2.2 million.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\">Such efforts are reflected in that both parties are leaning towards a cryptocurrency-friendly direction. In April, Senator Pat Toomey (R-PA) released a draft of the Stablecoin TRUST Act, which allows more flexibility for institutions authorized to issue stablecoins. The TRUST Act reflects <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vitallaw.com\/news\/blockchain-senator-toomey-releases-draft-of-stablecoin-trust-act-of-2022-for-discussion\/sld017e39c0467e221000a1ac000d3a8abb4e06\">Senator Toomey\u2019s intent<\/a> to champion \u201can interoperable financial ecosystem and the US tradition of fostering technological innovation \u2013 not stifling it.\u201d In June, Senator Cynthia Lummis (R-WY) and Senator Gillibrand (D-NY) <a href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/senate\/3514299-sens-gillibrand-lummis-introduce-major-cryptocurrency-bill\/\">announced a bipartisan<\/a> Responsible Financial Innovation Act (RFI). The bipartisan package aims to encourage innovation in the financial sector, as well as flexibility, transparency, and robust consumer protections while incorporating digital assets into existing laws.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\">Regulators must juggle the positives \u2013 financial efficiency, inclusion, US leadership in global finance \u2013 with the negatives \u2013 illicit financing, regulatory arbitrage, and consumer and business abuse. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/blog\/techtank\/2022\/03\/17\/how-bidens-executive-order-on-cryptocurrency-may-impact-the-fate-of-digital-currency-and-assets\/\">President Biden\u2019s Executive Order<\/a> in March of 2022 seeks to strike a balance in \u201cprotecting consumers, businesses, and investors as well as supporting technological advances that promote responsible development of digital assets.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\"><strong>Crypto must wait for its turn<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\">Crypto experts expect the November midterm elections will <a href=\"https:\/\/blockworks.co\/congress-mulling-stablecoin-regulation-after-terra-crash\/\">interfere with further legislation.<\/a> Politicians will likely <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/politics\/interactive\/2022\/key-issues-voting-2022-midterms\/\">tailor their campaigns<\/a> to address other social and economic issues, such as abortion, gun laws, post-pandemic inflation and the economy. <a href=\"https:\/\/blockworks.co\/congress-mulling-stablecoin-regulation-after-terra-crash\/\">The Blockchain Association<\/a> anticipates that if Congress acts, the earliest legislation will come in 2023.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\"><strong>A framework in the meantime<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\">In the meantime, economists <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/research\/how-we-can-regulate-stablecoins-now-without-congressional-action\/\">recommend a federal design<\/a> within the existing regulatory framework. This well-designed regulatory platform could protect consumers from risks of illiquidity and losses in the event of a stablecoin issuer\u2019s default.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\">Do Kwon, the inventor behind LUNA and Terra, is under <a href=\"https:\/\/coingeek.com\/sec-investigation-of-do-kwon-and-terraform-labs-to-proceed-as-court-affirms-subpoenas\/\">investigation by the SEC<\/a> for his role in the LUNA-Terra fiasco. It was revealed that, in 2020, he had anonymously launched and failed a stablecoin project called <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/tech\/2022\/05\/11\/usts-do-kwon-was-behind-earlier-failed-stablecoin-ex-terra-colleagues-say\/\">Basis Cash (BAC)<\/a>. However, despite the LUNA-Terra failure and the ongoing investigation, Kwon has newly announced his third coin, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2022\/05\/30\/terra-2point0-new-luna-cryptocurrency-is-already-crashing.html\">Terra 2.0<\/a><\/em>, within just weeks after the May collapse.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif\">To prevent another LUNA-Terra tragedy that took away Yuna\u2019s life, a crypto agenda that places consumer protection and coin-issuer accountability at its core seems inevitable. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On June 22nd, ten-year-old Yuna was reported missing by her teachers. Just one week later, the police discovered a sedan in the southernmost coast of South Korea, two hours away from Yuna\u2019s home. The three bodies recovered belonged to Yuna and her parents, both in their thirties. The police suspected suicide. Among the parent\u2019s last online searches included \u201cLUNA,\u201d \u201csleeping pills,\u201d and \u201chow to commit suicide.\u201d Evidence further suggested that Yuna\u2019s parents were unemployed, invested their lives savings into the cryptocurrency market, and struggled from financial debt of $100,000.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":155,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[545,547,548,1236,1251,1690,1788,1882],"class_list":["post-4717","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-finance-banking","tag-crypto","tag-cryptocurrency","tag-cryptocurrency-regulation","tag-legislation","tag-lobbying","tag-regulation","tag-sec","tag-stablecoin"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.luc.edu\/compliance\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4717","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.luc.edu\/compliance\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.luc.edu\/compliance\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.luc.edu\/compliance\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/155"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.luc.edu\/compliance\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4717"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.luc.edu\/compliance\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4717\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.luc.edu\/compliance\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4717"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.luc.edu\/compliance\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4717"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.luc.edu\/compliance\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4717"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}